Forecast for Hampton Roads VA Tuesday January 9th
Hello everyone! With the El Nino climate pattern active, we can expect back-to-back storm systems impacting the area. The one occurring Tuesday will be warm! It's interesting to look at the steep temperature gradient when the system moves through, bringing temps to the 60s. Way above average for the month of January.
Keeping an eye on the severe weather potential for Tuesday night and the flooding risk with this system. Since the ground is already moist, the steady rain and heavier amounts with this system can result in flash flooding. Please remain prepared and alert for local warnings and watches. If you know your area is prone to flooding, remain vigilant and don't drive through flooded or closed off roadways.
The rain will begin Tuesday morning and the heaviest will arrive Tuesday night. The NAM model shows potential for some clearing or a break in the steady rain in the afternoon. In the summer, this is a common alert for forecasters, as this leaves room for the sun to heat up the surface and create more severe storms for later on in the day during peak heating hours (4-5pm). The difference in the summer is the sun angle, so this time of year any clearing happening after 1pm before the more severe weather rolls through, shouldn't have a big impact.
A part of the system being driven across the coast is the cold front behind it. It pushes against the warm sector, which will spark the heavy rain and high winds. Temperatures will go from the 30s Monday night, to the 60s in the afternoon Tuesday and fall back again to the 30s by Wednesday night. Expect a possibility of power outages Tuesday night as the winds pick up, and flooding risk as the week progresses.
I've included some animations from the weather models. Thanks for reading!
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