Forecast for VA Coast Sunday December 17th into Monday December 18th
Hello folks! Wanted to take the time to post in regard to the upcoming weather that will impact the Virginia Coast Sunday night into Monday. Since it's only Wednesday, the long-range models are what can be utilized to observe the system. This presents a level of uncertainty; however, we can briefly go over the expectations.
A surface Low is going to develop over the Mississippi Gulf and make its way North, crossing over Florida and impacting the Carolinas. Since this month is above average temperatures, the Southern Coastal States or Virginia will not see a snow or ice event for this storm. It will produce high winds and heavy amounts of rain, with potential for some severe weather in Florida.
The GFS model has the system starting off stronger than the ECMWF, but overall moving slower. This presents the potential for inland and coastal flooding risk. The ECMWF has the system moving faster and getting stronger as it moves along the coast, with it not hugging as tightly along as the GFS.
Once it gets closer to the timeframe of the storm system developing the forecast models will tighten up a bit and come into more agreeance. For now, just be on alert for the upcoming weekend, rolling into the work week.
I will try to post more updates but am going out of town for the holiday so no promises, that's why I wanted to send the update now. Hope everyone stays dry and enjoys their upcoming holiday!
Thanks for reading
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| Monday 06z GFS |
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| Monday 06z ECMWF |
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| Sunday 18z ECMWF |
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| Sunday 18z GFS |
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